The Odds Are Against You, But You Still Play the Lottery

In a world where true wealth is nearly impossible to achieve without pouring in decades of effort into one specific area, lottery presents the tantalizing opportunity that you may hit the jackpot. And even though it is obvious that the odds are very poor, people continue to buy tickets and play their numbers.

I’ve talked to lots of people who have been playing the lottery for years, spending $50 or $100 a week. And they all tell me they are aware of the odds, and they know that the odds are bad. But they also feel like there is a certain merit in their behavior, because they are playing for a chance to change their lives.

Lotteries have a long history, dating back centuries. The Old Testament mentions Moses using a lottery to divide land, and Roman Emperors used it for the distribution of goods such as slaves or fancy dinnerware. During the American Revolution, the Continental Congress held lotteries to raise funds for its army.

A modern definition of lottery is any arrangement for the allocation of prizes by chance, and includes gambling games, commercial promotions in which property is given away randomly, and even selecting jurors from lists of registered voters. The prize money in a modern lottery is usually cash, but it can be anything from goods to services, or even real estate.

Regardless of the type of lottery, the basic principles of probability theory apply. In order to have a realistic expectation of winning, you must understand how the odds work, and use combinatorial math to determine the best strategy.